Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000159 0.000176 0.000194 0.000215 0.000239 0.000264 0.000294
2025-06-08 0.000123 0.000147 0.000174 0.000208 0.000250 0.000300 0.000364
2025-06-15 0.000106 0.000133 0.000166 0.000211 0.000269 0.000344 0.000447
2025-06-22 0.000095 0.000124 0.000162 0.000215 0.000289 0.000389 0.000537
2025-06-29 0.000083 0.000113 0.000153 0.000211 0.000295 0.000415 0.000603
2025-07-06 0.000073 0.000101 0.000141 0.000202 0.000293 0.000428 0.000650
2025-07-13 0.000067 0.000096 0.000137 0.000202 0.000305 0.000463 0.000734
2025-07-20 0.000063 0.000092 0.000135 0.000206 0.000320 0.000503 0.000833
2025-07-27 0.000058 0.000087 0.000131 0.000204 0.000327 0.000531 0.000914
2025-08-03 0.000055 0.000084 0.000129 0.000207 0.000341 0.000573 0.001025
2025-08-10 0.000051 0.000079 0.000124 0.000204 0.000346 0.000598 0.001107
2025-08-17 0.000048 0.000076 0.000121 0.000203 0.000353 0.000628 0.001204
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000072 0.000117 0.000201 0.000358 0.000657 0.001307
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000066 0.000110 0.000194 0.000354 0.000669 0.001378
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000064 0.000109 0.000196 0.000369 0.000718 0.001540
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000063 0.000109 0.000200 0.000387 0.000779 0.001737
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000059 0.000105 0.000196 0.000388 0.000802 0.001850
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000055 0.000098 0.000188 0.000379 0.000801 0.001905
2025-10-05 0.000030 0.000053 0.000097 0.000188 0.000390 0.000847 0.002089
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000052 0.000096 0.000191 0.000405 0.000907 0.002321
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000050 0.000094 0.000190 0.000411 0.000942 0.002493
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000049 0.000093 0.000192 0.000426 0.001005 0.002758
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000047 0.000091 0.000190 0.000429 0.001036 0.002933